Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.007020 0.007854 0.008764 0.009833 0.011059 0.012423 0.014063
2025-03-30 0.005889 0.007069 0.008466 0.010257 0.012508 0.015267 0.018942
2025-04-06 0.004967 0.006230 0.007807 0.009945 0.012802 0.016539 0.021883
2025-04-13 0.004324 0.005614 0.007292 0.009671 0.013013 0.017626 0.024629
2025-04-20 0.003915 0.005237 0.007019 0.009647 0.013505 0.019096 0.028065
2025-04-27 0.003693 0.005077 0.007008 0.009962 0.014486 0.021358 0.032995
2025-05-04 0.003408 0.004796 0.006786 0.009930 0.014923 0.022824 0.036862
2025-05-11 0.003191 0.004588 0.006645 0.009992 0.015496 0.024553 0.041415
2025-05-18 0.002962 0.004338 0.006413 0.009880 0.015760 0.025785 0.045263
2025-05-25 0.002814 0.004199 0.006336 0.010003 0.016418 0.027761 0.050795
2025-06-01 0.002641 0.004006 0.006155 0.009929 0.016719 0.029123 0.055349
2025-06-08 0.002431 0.003737 0.005828 0.009573 0.016472 0.029429 0.057785
2025-06-15 0.002291 0.003580 0.005683 0.009540 0.016847 0.031041 0.063448
2025-06-22 0.002242 0.003569 0.005784 0.009959 0.018138 0.034673 0.074405
2025-06-29 0.002078 0.003350 0.005509 0.009657 0.017977 0.035286 0.078447
2025-07-06 0.001936 0.003159 0.005267 0.009393 0.017858 0.035966 0.082789
2025-07-13 0.001842 0.003046 0.005157 0.009369 0.018231 0.037779 0.090421
2025-07-20 0.001803 0.003026 0.005211 0.009674 0.019336 0.041428 0.103836
2025-07-27 0.001721 0.002923 0.005104 0.009643 0.019701 0.043385 0.113011
2025-08-03 0.001657 0.002849 0.005045 0.009703 0.020277 0.045948 0.124639
2025-08-10 0.001578 0.002741 0.004913 0.009595 0.020450 0.047516 0.133606
2025-08-17 0.001530 0.002689 0.004887 0.009713 0.021172 0.050633 0.148454
2025-08-24 0.001464 0.002600 0.004779 0.009641 0.021424 0.052527 0.159738